End of the $7,500 EV Tax Credit? Tesla Updates & Industry Insights

Hey everyone, DennisCW here! Welcome back to another update-packed post. Today, we’re diving into some critical news for electric vehicle (EV) buyers and Tesla enthusiasts. The big headline? The $7,500 federal EV tax credit might be on its last legs with a potential expiration date looming. Plus, we’ve got updates on Tesla’s leasing changes, delivery estimates, and more. Let’s get into it!

The $7,500 EV Tax Credit: Countdown to September 30th

The “one big beautiful bill” has been making waves, and not in a good way for EV incentives. This bill, which includes the potential end of the $7,500 federal tax credit for electric vehicles, has passed the Senate and is now headed back to the House before landing on Trump’s desk. The target timeline for signing is around July 4th, and if it passes, the tax credit—covering new EVs, used EVs (up to $4,000 for vehicles under $25,000), and leasing workarounds—could officially expire by September 30th, 2025.

This is a huge deal for anyone planning to buy or lease an EV. The tax credit has been a major incentive for making electric vehicles more affordable, especially with income limits in play for direct purchases. If you’re eyeing a Tesla or any other EV, this might be your last chance to snag that $7,500 benefit. On a brighter note, solar and wind project taxes were removed from the bill, so those sectors might dodge a bullet. However, other home energy credits are set to end by June 30th, 2026.

What are your thoughts on this? Are you rushing to buy before the deadline, or do you think Tesla and other manufacturers will step up with their own incentives? Let me know in the comments!

Tesla Leasing Updates: Monthly Payments Just Got Worse

Switching gears to Tesla-specific news, there’s been a quiet but significant update to leasing terms for the Model 3 and Model Y—and it’s not good news. Tesla has increased down payments across the board, making monthly costs feel heavier despite unchanged payment amounts in some cases.

• Model Y Lease: Monthly payments remain at $399 and $499 for a 36-month term, but the down payment has jumped from $1,000 to $3,000. That’s a big upfront hit!
• Model 3 Rear-Wheel Drive Lease: Previously $349/month for 24 months with $0 down, it’s now a 36-month lease with a $3,000 down payment. Ouch.

For context, every $1,000 in down payment roughly impacts monthly payments by $30. This shift feels like a strange move by Tesla, especially when other manufacturers are getting aggressive with deals. For instance, a Hummer EV lease is advertised at $627/month with a $3,513 down payment—a ton of vehicle for just a bit more than a Model Y all-wheel drive lease at $499/month. Value-wise, it’s hard to ignore competitors right now. Will Tesla respond with better inventory or demo discounts soon? I’m crossing my fingers for some relief in the coming weeks.

Tesla Q2 Delivery Estimates: A Concerning Drop

Let’s talk numbers. Tesla’s Q2 delivery estimates are in, and they’re not looking great. Analysts are projecting between 335,000 and 386,000 units delivered globally, a significant drop from last year’s Q2 figure of 444,000—nearly a 100,000-unit decline. My go-to analyst, Troy Tesla, estimates around 356,000, while the consensus sits at 385,000.

What’s behind this dip? It could be economic factors, production pauses for models like the Model Y and Cybertruck, or simply a saturation in demand. Inventory for the Model Y has spiked recently, which could hint at upcoming discounts—but right now, deals are scarce. Tesla’s earnings call (likely in the third week of July) will be critical for understanding their strategy. Are they holding back incentives now to push harder in Q4? Let’s discuss in the comments—what do you think Tesla’s next move will be?

Tesla Model 3 & Y Range Boost… But Not for Us (Yet)

Some exciting news from overseas: Tesla has quietly upgraded the range and performance of the Model 3 and Model Y in China. The Model 3 long-range variant now boasts a CLTC range of 468 miles (up from 443) and a 0-60 mph time of 3.8 seconds (down from 4.4). The Model Y long-range variant also got a bump to 447 miles (from 466) and a 0-60 of 4.3 seconds. Tesla did raise prices alongside these upgrades, likely to maintain margins.

Could this be a preview of what’s coming to the U.S. market? If the $7,500 tax credit disappears, Tesla might keep prices steady but add value through range boosts or even bundling Full Self-Driving (FSD) as standard (currently an $8,000 option). It’s a strategy they’ve used before—remember when Enhanced Autopilot became free? I’m curious to see if this plays out here.

Cybertruck Financing: 0% Still Alive!

Here’s a silver lining: Tesla Cybertruck buyers can still access 0% financing into this quarter, though it comes with caveats. You must purchase Full Self-Driving (a must anyway since Cybertruck lacks basic Autopilot without it), put down 4% upfront, and have good credit. The $7,500 tax credit can potentially be applied as part of your down payment if you act before the deadline. Plus, Cybertrucks come with free Supercharging—a nice perk.

If you’re considering a Cybertruck, now might be the time, especially with Foundation Series units still available in inventory. Use my Tesla referral code in the description to get 3 months of FSD added to your order and support the channel!

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Final Thoughts: What’s Next for Tesla & EV Buyers?

With the $7,500 EV tax credit potentially ending by September 30th, Tesla’s lackluster leasing terms, and a concerning dip in delivery numbers, it’s a pivotal time for the EV industry. I believe Tesla might hold off on major incentives until after the earnings call, but the pressure is on with competitors offering killer deals. Meanwhile, upgrades in China and Cybertruck financing offer glimmers of hope.

What do you think? Are you planning to buy or lease before the tax credit deadline? Do you expect Tesla to counter with price cuts or added value like FSD? Drop your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to subscribe to my free email newsletter (link below) for the latest updates. Thanks for reading, and I’ll catch you in the next one!

Links & Resources:

• Sign up for my free email newsletter: [Link in description]
• Sell your vehicle with maximum value at givemethevin.com: [Link in description]
• Mini Revs giveaway and discount: [Link in description]
• Joah Tesla accessories: [Link in description]
• 3W Liners floor mats: [Link in description]
• Tesla referral code for 3 months of FSD: [Link in description]